Monday, March 06, 2006

How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the Bomb / Objects are a Promotion to Their Own Use

So today Bush promoted nuclear proliferation by allowing India to double or triple its production of fissile material, while also selling India civilian grade nuclear fuel. This equation results in surplus product, i.e. fissile material that can be converted into weapons grade fuel and turned into bombs or sold to neighboring countries. Great! Neat!

As I am not an expert on foreign policy, it is hard for me to form an opinion with any real merit on the situation. What I will say is that it is probably not a good thing we are violating nuclear non-proliferation treaties by allowing India to expand its nuclear program, if for no other reason than the precedent it sets when dealing with other countries.

However, it seems to me that the larger danger than governments that are our allies expanding or creating nuclear programs is the danger posed by the many thousands of warheads in former Soviet nations. Governments and organizations that want a nuclear arsenal, presumably, want one as a nuclear deterrent, to be a player on the field of the nuclear powers. This creates a shift in economic and political ties, and forces neighboring governments to take them more seriously, etc. Aiding in a nuclear program of an allied nation can also be seen as a particularly close type of alliance, in that by providing allied governments with nuclear technology and fuel we can help regulate their nuclear programs and also there is the implicit understanding that you do not bite the hand that feeds you. So, all this aside, I do not find it as upsetting that certain governments want a small nuclear arsenal. It is much more of a concern that there are literally thousands of high yield nukes in former Soviet nations that will surely, one way or another, find their way to the black markets within our lifetimes. For these objects simply to be sitting around means that there is a reasonable chance they will be used.

An analogy:
Recently a friend dropped off a sack of 250 super rubber bouncy balls at a friends house. It resulted in literally months of chaos, as because they were lying around we were inclined to constantly throw them at each other. And, not just that, they started showing up in the strangest places. They would literally get caught in my clothing and wind up in other houses, in the bathroom, in my backpack, etc. As a result, we one day decided to disarm. The balls were all gathered and stuck under a friend's bed, and, since then, though we continue to beat the hell out of each other will all manner of blunt objects, we have yet to have a bouncy ball fight. So, the moral of the story, if you don't want to use something, you probably shouldn't have hundreds or thousands of them lying around.

So while we are worried about India, North Korea, and Iran building nukes, why don't we finish destroying some of the tens of thousands that were produced in Soviet Russia?

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